The Death of Liberals, Conservatives, Feminists, and the Rest of the Political Ideologues

If you believe JUST ONE WORD of either political candidate about ANYTHING that they promise to do that requires MONEY, you are deluding yourself.

The U.S. Federal Government is going to be forced to reduce spending in real terms.  PERIOD.  No way out.  No negotiations.  How it gets done might be open to a small (VERY small) amount of debate, but not the outcome.  

The government cannot solve the problem by spending precisely because their deficit spending and wasteful military and entitlement practices is the biggest part of the problem AFTER the decline in Oil imports.  That Oil went from $20 to $145 this decade has NOTHING to do with liberal or conservative political ideologies, and the lies and deceptions by these groups to blame the other is disgusting, despicable, unconscionable, lame brained, and asinine.

ALL SOCIAL PROGRAMS will need to be cut DEEPLY.  The MILITARY BUDGET will need to be cut DEEPLY.  This is going to piss off MANY special interest groups, most of them on the LEFT SIDE OF THE ISLE as measured by DOLLARS and HEAD COUNT.

We have a HUGE budget deficit. We have a HUGE trade deficit.  Too many of our citizens think that the proverbial "FREE LUNCH" does actually exist, and boy are they gonna be pissed off when the gravy train stops dead on the tracks.

I get a decent amount of email from folks with stars in their eyes.  The Peak Oil movement certainly contains more left leaning folks than wild eyed, fire breathing conservatives, most of whom seem to be in COMPLETE denial about the implications of the implications and probable outcomes of Peak Oil, but there appears to be an unhealthy amount of denial on the LEFT side of the aisle (though of a different sort) as well.

I got an email from a childhood friend of mine, a big time liberal activist, journalist, and Citizen Against Virtually Everything (CAVE people) .  He told me he planned to move to a mobile home park or tent village (laughingly dismissing my economic concerns) rather than take action now to address his family's future needs.  Now, I have known this man since childhood and he is nothing short of BRILLIANT, he has more cerebral capacity than I could EVER even dream of - how could he be so silly?  While I can't be sure, I suspect that it is hard to accept that 30 years as a political dissident, hell raiser, and liberal bon vivant was a complete waste of time.  Who am I to decide what a waste of time is?  Nobody (actually, I am well qualified.  I have spent a lifetime on Wall Street.  Talk about a waste.  Still, we don't all have the talent to cure polio and one has to make a living). That is for your own children and descendants to pass judgement on.  But here is a clue:

If the energy crisis devolves into a SIGNIFICANT economic recession or depression and you are the provider for your family and your family becomes needy or indigent - you fucked up.  If instead of taking this situation seriously, you spent your time promoting the election of a complete jerk off, liar, scum bag, or working on some other manufactured issue - you are a jack ass.  Yes!  I think that is an excellent working definition. 

If you have nobody counting on you, no children, no spouse, no elderly parents (you are either a liar or an orphan), by all means, have at it.

The "rate of change" that the American economy will experience for the next several years will, in my humble opinion, be nothing short of surreal.   Let me make a couple of specific observations:

1. The U.S. illegal immigrant factory and migrant farm workers will head home over the next decade.
2. Natural born U.S. citizens will take their place in the fields and factories.
3. Most won't be happy about it.
4. Import inflation is going to level the American consumer.
5. Liberals will blame all of the country's ills on the conservatives.
6. Conservatives will blame all of the country's ills on liberals.
7. Both groups will die off within a decade in terms of political power.
8. The "Rich" will be fewer in number and a great deal poorer.
9. The "Poor" will increase in number, but will feel better about themselves as they increase their self sufficiency. (I know this cannot be accurately measured)
10. Financial services, Real State, and Insurance will employ less than half of the people they do at this time.
11. The U.S. populations will stop growing, and within a decade start shrinking.
12. A large number of local governments and municipalities will default on their debt and file Chapter 13 bankruptcy.
13. Fannie Mai, Freddie Mac, and the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation will all default.
14. G.M., Ford, and Chrysler will all enter Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
15. An RTC style rescue of the banking system will fail.
16. The U.S. military budget will represent less than 50% of its current take of GDP, and GDP will fall in real terms fairly significantly.
17. The U.S. Dollar will fall an additional 50% to 70% in purchasing power, from here, over the next decade.
18. The Social Security and Medicare eligibility age will rise, AGAIN (and perhaps and AGAIN after that).

No matter which liar is elected.

I hate to point this out, but the social programs are doomed, and it was they that doomed the system.  Raising taxes to EXPAND them will only serve to hasten their demise.  If you believe ONE word of any candidate proposing such nonsense AND you believe that we have a significant energy crisis you must have had one fucked up childhood there, Sybil.

Both of the Presidential candidates are more of the same, though one is probably less so.  Me?  I could not care less who wins as it is of no consequence to the real issue(s) of the next decade:

Not enough FOOD

and 

Not enough ENERGY

Mentatt (at) yahoo (dot) com