Wednesday, June 16, 2010

"Liberty lies in the hearts of men and women. When it dies there, no constitution, no law, no court can save it." – Justice Learned Hand

In watching the president's speech from the Oval Office last night, I was struck by the shear politicizing of the GOM event. The president began a passage and had a moment where he really could have begun the marketing effort that only the presidency can accomplish. Here's the passage:

One of the lessons we've learned from this spill is that we need better regulations better safety standards, and better enforcement when it comes to offshore drilling. But a larger lesson is that no matter how much we improve our regulation of the industry, drilling for oil these days entails greater risk. After all, oil is a finite resource. We consume more than 20% of the world's oil, but have less than 2% of the world's oil reserves. And that's part of the reason oil companies are drilling a mile beneath the surface of the ocean -- because we're running out of places to drill on land and in shallow water.

For decades, we have known the days of cheap and easily accessible oil were numbered. For decades, we have talked and talked about the need to end America's century-long addiction to fossil fuels. And for decades, we have failed to act with the sense of urgency that this challenge requires. Time and again, the path forward has been blocked - not only by oil industry lobbyists, but also by a lack of political courage and candor.

The consequences of our inaction are now in plain sight. Countries like China are investing in clean energy jobs and industries that should be here in America. Each day, we send nearly $1 billion of our wealth to foreign countries for their oil. And today, as we look to the Gulf, we see an entire way of life being threatened by a menacing cloud of black crude.
The pitch to the American people is that "We Can Do This" - with "This" meaning an Apollo moon shot style techno double achievement of "millions of clean energy jobs" and "clean energy". The sad truth of the matter is that the President might be able to convince legions of mathematically and scientifically challenged Americans that all we need to do is approach this the way we approached "putting a man on the moon" and Viola! Problem solved. We can all continue to live an an energy intensive society, and NOTHING could be further from the truth. Anybody with Physics 101 and 201 under their belt knows this (or about 2% of the population).

Yes, Mr. President we HAVE known for decades that this day is coming, and now that it is here you have chosen the political - "evil" B.P., Cap & Trade, "clean energy" jobs - over the substantive: Massive conservation efforts, massive expansion of heavy rail and public transport, and MASSIVE cuts in the budget for fuel for Federal Government vehicles and buildings. We SHOULD BE on a war footing on this issue, because the political ramifications
are as stark as War here on our soil.

There are positives, too, to bringing the American people together on a common course of action, because in addition to denying our oil predicament for decades... for DECADES our political leaders have polarized the electorate to the point we find ourselves at now - a hair trigger away from a political meltdown. But to do this you and our other "leaders" would have to cease your polarizing efforts and compromise, thus risking the strangle hold that the 2-headed-one-party has had on America since the end of WWII.

You blew it, Mr. President. The U.S. consumes closer to 25% than 20% of the world's oil. We DO only have 2% of the world's reserves. You LEFT OUT the FACT that the U.S. produces 8% of the world's oil on a current basis - which means the U.S. is running through its domestic reserves at 4X the rate the rest of the world is (all else being equal, and I know this is a less than perfect metric... but the POTUS brought it up) while the rate of decline in U.S. Oil imports is roughly .7% per month. How hard would it have been to put up a graphic, Ross Perot style, and walk the American people through this. The people PAID for the Hirsch Report. The people PAID for the Pentagon report on the future of Oil. Why not help the people to understand the issue? Heck, you are a former college professor... who better than you to make this presentation?

This is going to piss some folks off - don't read it if you are into denial. The American people are not only addicted to Oil - they are addicted to Media explanation. Pictures of birds drowning in Oil tug at the heart of any normal person. Pictures of flag-draped coffins coming off of military transport planes somehow do not. WTmotherfingF?!!! For some reason people cannot picture what is inside the coffin. Our media engages in censure in the abortion debate as well. Support abortion? Really? (Libertarians like me do not support the use of government force against women and doctors to prevent abortion. We prefer to work from the other side of the debate - prevention and assistance to pregnant women to prevent abortion) Ever seen a picture or film of the PRODUCT of an abortion? Probably not. No media representation of the REAL costs of war, no media representation of the REAL result of an abortion. No media representation of the Death Penalty, either. Why? I'll tell you why. You already know why. Because people are basically good and righteous and when confronted by the TRUTH of the violence of any of these they will reject them out of hand!! - And the 2-headed-one-party simply cannot have that. They must have control... and so we are manipulated with pictures of birds drowning in Oil while they withhold documentation of the human results of War, Abortion, and the Death Penalty. Why are we not permitted to see the graphic representation of the activities one purports to support? And why are people protesting BP in the GOM while we have teenagers coming home in pieces, placed in flag draped coffins, fighting over the very stuff BP was drilling for?

I have often wondered in this forum if I were, in fact, the only normal person left. Thankfully, I am NOT. I got a call from an old friend that I went to grade school with in the 1960's telling me that he is normal, too. Now there are 2 of us. I am looking for more. Let me know if you are out there.

31 comments:

PioneerPreppy said...

Well I am anything but normal although I agree with all your points Greg.

I am outspoken, I no longer care when the progressives (putting all the various liberal flavors into that group) brand me a racist or bigot or whatever. I am not afraid to speak openly about topics so many people in my neck of the woods agree with but refuse to mention out loud for fear of those words.

My opinion is that the boys coming back under the flag regardless of their race or political affiliation are viewed as having fought and died for the MAN. If you have a company, any company, and it is run by a white male than it is evil.

I think that explains why no one notices. Or cares. Why teachers protest their own students openly who join our military and why in the end we will never be able to work together.

I could go on but why bother just like was shown in the thread last week throwing out any fact or theory that casts a favorable light on THE MAN (and we know who the man is) will be met with eye bulging, white foam spitting, blind hatred.

Until that is resolved there will never be any cooperation in this country.

Kudos to you Greg, I know you don't agree with me on numerous points but you sure are open minded and willing to at least look at anothers point of view.

Anonymous said...

Good post, I didn't even bother watching last night, I'm tired of decades of propaganda and empty rhetoric or outright deceit from politicians/CEO's and the like.

Define 'normal'. People don't even understand freedom anymore, its just freedom to eat crap and stare at TV's for most, gradual desensitization as the frontal cortex atrophies in a life full of passivity and voyeurism.

We aren't just a country in decline, but a culture--be it a patchwork quilt that is fraying quickly along the edges. It's sad that I actually have to argue with family members about basic rights, the Nazi's had it right, people are willing to piss away freedoms for any sense of false security--that in real life is always tenuous. I've had multiple friends ask me why I bought wheat..."what do you do with it?". Well, we make fresh bread with it, it's amazing how far removed people have become from the basics of life such food and even death--witnessed as surreal by many, rather than a weekly part of life on most farms.

I don't know what 'normal' is, but from what I see--I don't want any part of it, nor for my family, technological progress is not all good as we see, we can do amazing things with the power of our hands, but also destroy at scales unthinkable just a century ago.
-Meiyo

A Quaker in a Strange Land said...

Pioneer:

I thank you for these kind words:
"I know you don't agree with me on numerous points but you sure are open minded and willing to at least look at anothers point of view."

So many of my views are driven by the fact that I am not SURE about somethings, and being unsure I refuse to play G-d. Maybe somebody does deserve the death penalty - but how do I KNOW? How do I know for sure that someone is even guilty? Look how many guys have been proved innocent after decades in prison using DNA.

"Maybe"... a lot of things... but when you can't know with certainty it seems best to error on the side of caution and "do no harm". in my business the guys that do the best are the guys that can admit when they are wrong.

There are wars that need to be fought. I don't think a war for Oil is one of them. Maybe I am wrong. That's why I am a blogger and not a candidate for president.

I refuse to play G-d, I do not believe one thing I am told by the government or the media just because they say so - I'll do my own thinking, thanks - and I resent the living sh*t out of the folks that want to CONTROL.

Anonymous said...

My Logic professor in College spoke frequently about "I don't know" as often being the most logical deduction or response to a question. Knowing you don't know is the first step to wisdom eh?
-Meiyo

I think too many people had drank the irrational cool-aid and their plan was similar to Macho C's from Idiocracy.
President Camacho: Now I understand everyone's ****'s emotional right now. But I've got a 3 point plan that's going to fix EVERYTHING.
Congressman #1: Break it down, Camacho!
President Camacho: Number 1: We've got this guy Not Sure. Number 2: He's got a higher IQ than ANY MAN ALIVE. and Number 3: He's going to fix EVERYTHING.

Anonymous said...

Obama has missed another perfect opportunity to educate the American people on the true energy/peak oil situation and what we need to do now.

The words "conservation" and "car" were not mentioned at any time during the "presidential address". Nothing about revitalizing railroads or downsizing the empire.

Regards, Marshall

bureaucrat said...

Matthew Simmons ...

http://timiacono.com/
index.php/2010/06/16/
more-dire-warnings-
from-matt-simmons/

PioneerPreppy said...

Greg

playing God is the essence of the overall issue IMO. That and hypocrisy I guess.

Those who preach "the oppression" of women by men are the ones who play god and lock men up for rapes they didn't commit. With the help of the white knight gods (Initially) who were insulated from the laws they created.

Other progressives are sure happy to play god and force unequal affirmative action because it makes them feel good and they don't have to pay the price.

Others play god by sentencing unborn children to death yet scream racism if a murderer gets sentenced to death for brutal crimes.

Some play god by giving extra votes to a citizen because of their race simply to get an outcome they feel is fair. that just happened yesterday in New York, 6 votes per person to one particular ethnic group.

I could go on but you get the point.

Not playing god and being able to detach yourself from instant biased judgment is an admirable quality. I wish those in power would take your attitude as an example.

bureaucrat said...

There are lots of normal people. But normal people also see the following: food stores that are full with cheap food, and gas stations that are all open and fully stocked. The people have been manipulated before, sometimes by politicians, and sometimes by advertisting. They are of the mind that you need to "show them the money."

We continue to be overflowing in just about everything: oil, gasoline, diesel, natural gas, food, real estate, you name it. It is there, right in front of your eyes! If you have a theory about scarcity in energy coming, put your money where your big mouth is. :) WHERE?? WHERE?? That's what people are saying, and why they aren't panicking in the streets. We won't get fooled again.

Well, they aren't gonna get fooled again, but that doesn't meet the worst can't happen. Even Matt Simmons was apparently a little fooled by the competency of the BP engineers. The oil came washing up on the bright white sandy beaches. The public can SEE that.

What the public does not realize is the "clean energy" Obama is talking about doesn't exist. I'm involved with all the alternative fuels. They all suck. They are lesser fuels. They work, but not better than oil/gasoline/diesel.

I think this may have been the point where Obama has started to panic himself a little. Merchandising logic may not be able to save us this time. There are no baliffs to "cleanly remove" this problem from the court. The mess is gonna happen. Good grief.

Anonymous said...

Bur-

Use your head, my friend.

The basic peak oil facts are:

1. The 1960s were the last decade in which massive new crude oil discoveries occurred when we had 10/1 ratio of discoveries to oil used. Discoveries are trending lower and lower since until we now replace only 1/4 of oil consumed. From 10/1 to 1/4!!

2. A current world consumption of 30 billion barrels of oil/year. From 1980 to 2010, the world has used up around 750 billion barrels (3/4 of the left side of Hubberts curve).

3. The USA has avoided the day of reckoning so far because we have the global reserve currency and 800 military bases around the world to enforce our policies. But the BRICs are sharpening their knives as they view the US consumption of 25% of world oil production and may soon find a way to start cutting off chunks of the US share.

4. Jeffrey Browns Export Land theory is in full operation and will wreak absolute havoc on an import vulnerable nation like the USA which produces not much more than 1/4 of current usage from older wells.

5. Like most unsustainable situations, out-of-balance trends can continue for a long time and often end up exploding all at once.

Regards, Marshall

bureaucrat said...

A new informational blog site -- has some good quips ..

http://georgewashington2.blogspot.com/2010/06/
evidence-points-to-
destruction-beneath.html

bureaucrat said...

And it likely will happen .. and has been happening since 2005 .. and 2006 .. and 2007 ... and 2008 ... and 2009 .. and 2010 ... and likely 2011 .. and on and on ...

What most people don't realize is there are TWO sides to peak oil .. supply AND demand. We have lots of data saying supply is in trouble. But the demand/economic side is not talked about at all. It is just as important.

I have a graph from Chris Srebowski (oil guy in UK) that says we were supposed to have exceeded the oil supply line in the summer of 2008. We didn't.

Why? A massive asset bubble/economic meltdown that dropped oil demand significantly. The U.S. and China both dropped their use of oil for a time (the U.S. from 21 mbpd to 18+ mbpd today, almost all of it from reduced industrial need).

If supply drops, but demand drops more, we never get to peak oil.

That is one success strategy some of us see as a possibility. Demand collapse. It's easy: get on the bus, and get off your asses and walk! :))

bureaucrat said...

Why Simmons's nukes idea might not work ...

http://whiskeyand
gunpowder.com/
nukes-and-
expensive-oil/

Anonymous said...

Give Obama a fucking break. He is the first President in a long time to come out and address the peak oil problem head on face to face and you start bashing him. The whole point of your blog is supposed to be to convince people that peak oil exists, and its time to start doing something about it. Why does every topic on this blog somehow turn into a rant about abortion? Why do you care so much about abortion anyway? Stick with the oil analysis or your blog is going to become useless

bureaucrat said...

(The worldwide oil industry is too big to explode all at once. I thought you were involved in this industry somewhat. You should know better. :))

Stephen B. said...

We don't get the truth anymore as the govt. knows most cannot handle it.

Case in point: the blowout well is disintegrating, well case and all. The flow is increasing and could very well be unstoppable.

Perhaps everyone has seen this link I posted yesterday on the previous blog post: http://www.theoildrum.com/node/6593#comment-648967 or maybe not. But that well is becoming a grade A disaster and nobody really is being on the level in the media about it.

My apologies to Bur as I don't have time to read the links he posted re Simmons, etc., but I will later.

Regards all.

Anonymous said...

I'm seeing more of those links explaining how the integrity of the well bore is being compromised along with the seabed. Some senators acknowledged that oil is seeping out of the seabed and that goes along with those who are claiming there is a leak below the BOP riser. Should the seafloor collapse or the well bore expands due to erosion from the oil and gas passing through with the rocks there will be no way of stopping it.

If the worst case scenario should occur I think that will halt all offshore drilling since I'm sure the public outrage will be unprecedented. I just wonder how much BP saved by cutting corners on the wellhead because they will be on the hook for tens of billions if not their entire US branch of assets.

Has anyone else seen the new bill being proposed to control the internet? http://www.prisonplanet.com/new-bill-gives-obama-kill-switch-to-shut-down-the-internet.html

I think the government is anticipating civil unrest in the future and is taking steps to control the flow of information.

-Del

A Quaker in a Strange Land said...

Dear Anon @ 12:40 AM

I no longer allow anonymous comments here. Register or use a nick name that will stick with and you are welcome to participate in the discussion irrespective of how big of a jerk you think I am.

BTW... the values a society embraces speak volumes about that society.

It seems that you wish to censure me - its OK with you if I attack the death penalty and the wars as this comports with your belief system... but as far as you are concerned the abortion issue is settled and done with and you have declared that it is right and just and people like me should have the courtesy not to bring up this taboo topic now that you are satisfied with the outcome.

Has it occurred to you that the only reason the issue stands where it does is as a result of your special interest group's success in censuring out the graphic depictions of the act you so vociferously support? If it is so right and so just why do you fearhaving the light of day shed upon it? (That was rhetorical.) Why?! Because your argument is sh*t.

In the final analysis, I do not seek to overturn roe v wade (though I do think this should be up to the states). As a Libertarian, I would not FUND the enforcement of an abortion prohibition... ergo, I implore the pro-life folks to work on the issue from the other side... because in the end your silly "pro-choice" compatriots were merely being co-opted into supporting a completely different agenda, with you and your agenda to be "dealt with" once their goals have been met.

You really should play chess.

Anonymous said...

Greg,

To your point, the DSA will work with any group to garner support for their agenda. They profess no loyalty to the goals of any but their own. The DSA is the party of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, though today they deny it. A few years ago, before the Democrats gained a majority, and the Presidency, they were proud to declare it. For fear of negative publicity in the press, both the CPC site and the DSA site have been completely sanitized. Neither contains a single reference to the other. They used to be full of cross links. The CPC site proclaimed that its members were proud to be DSA members. Look at the list of Congressmen in the CPC. They are running the show.

In any case, the DSA's "Where We Stand" page is chilling. Their goal is total worldwide control of all credit, industry and natural resources. Slavery for the masses. In it they say they'll take anyone under their wing who will support them until....

http://www.dsausa.org/about/where.html
http://cpc.grijalva.house.gov/

Regards,

Coal Guy

Anonymous said...

Bur-

I'm not saying the global oil industry would explode all at once. Much of the global oil industry may do just fine. Some of these smaller producers ie some of the US Rocky Mt. operators, may have many years of great returns.

What can explode are the supply risks to a vulnerable USA and other oil importers (Japan,Europe?)- possibly when a perfect storm of global events occurs.

And it seems that these perfect storms are coming in- one after another. Remember Sep 20008 when everything financial fell into massive chaos? How about the current BP situation as a black swan? Well, when that massive chaos hits the oil business, we will not be able to print up a bunch of new barrels of oil to stabilize the situation.

Dmitry Orlov has noted that everything seems to go wrong when the empire reaches the point of no return.

Regards, Marshall

bureaucrat said...

I don't suppose there is a shorter version of what they stand for. :) Cause with 80% of Federal dollars going to Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Interest and Defense (at the state level, 90% of the money goes to Education, Human Services, Medicaid and Public Pensions for those terrible government workers), the American public are just fine with these "socialist" ideas.

Matter of fact, every single politician dares not touch any of these ideas. We are already socialists, and have been for quite a while. Everyone wants it. Get used to it. :) (after being robbed of the national wealth for the last 10 years by anti-regulation Republican functionaries, who Could blame the public?)

bureaucrat said...

Since half the energy/oil/gas is wasted in this world (BP is "flaring" (burning up) all that natgas from the Gulf!), smaller energy imports would not be a bad thing. If you are stupid enough to live on some farm in the middle of nowhere where you have to drive all the time to get things, you deserve what you get. :)

bureaucrat said...

Hey Jeffers, your Crude Oil Imports are going back down again per the EIA Crude Oil page.

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/
oog/info/twip/
twip_crude.html

Anonymous said...

Bur,

These guys and the "robbers" are one and the same. They just put on different clothes. When they get enough control of things, dissidents won't get employed, won't get a mortgage, etc., etc. Just like in the USSR. The PC thing is already pretty damned bad. This blog, and all avenues of dissent will cease to exist. Just because you support this BS now, doesn't mean that these boys won't piss you off in the future. By then it will be too late.

Regards,

Coal Guy

bureaucrat said...

Try to remember I work for "these boys," and they aren't half as successful in running the world as you think. Sometimes it is pure Keystone Cops.

A lot of people would have suggested the Brainiacs at BP would NEVER have gotten themselves into a situation where you "can't shut it off." Any kid-to-become-engineer who watched that one Star Trek episode (The Ultimate Computer) where Kirk screams "you are telling me you can't shut it off?!?!?!" would never have gotten into that situation.

You have way more faith in the controlling government "smart people" of the world than I have. :)

Anonymous said...

Bur,

Please, review the history of the 20th century. It has been a bloodbath of socialists of one ilk or another suppressing, oppressing and murdering their people. Make a list of the best known socialist leaders of the 20th century, then make a list of the most notorious mass murderers. The lists are about 80% the same. Don't forget to include Hitler. Today's socialists don't like to include him, but he claimed and believed he was a socialist. Socialism has been the biggest bloodbath in human history.

I do not buy the crap about the social democrats of the West being different. They just haven't had their chance. If you think the DSA's path is a good one, too bad for the rest of us.

Regards,

Coal Guy

Anonymous said...

Bur,

Further, you have pointed out the failing of socialism. Government functions like the Keystone Cops. When government takes over, everything runs that way. Pretty soon people start to notice. TPTB get worried. Not long later, those who notice start to disappear in the night.

Regards,

bureaucrat said...

Why cities are the future, not dumb farms :) ...

http://www.oftwominds.com/
blogjun10/
future-of-cities
06-10.html

bureaucrat said...

Nobody is gonna disappear in the night. You can't cite even one example of that ever happening even in your own town. Be reasonable. :) We have nowhere to put you anyway! Look at Katrina. We had people begging for help in Norlans -- wanting housing and food -- and we refused to help them, right, Carbon? :)

Anonymous said...

Just because it hasn't happened here, doesn't mean that it can't. Our civil rights are eroded every day. It usually takes a really big mess, and a strong man to set things right. I hope not to see it in my lifetime. These DSA guys are the ideological descendants of Lenin, Trotsky and Stalin.

The last real estate market was different. It wasn't a bubble. Blah Blah Blah. These socialists are different. Blah Blah Blah.

Regards,

Coal Guy

Anonymous said...

Present.

IdahoDave

k said...

Hey, Bur.

What about Maher Arar?